Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.051328 0.055131 0.059088 0.063518 0.068341 0.073441 0.079248
2025-12-14 0.041638 0.046861 0.052601 0.059396 0.067245 0.076055 0.086733
2025-12-21 0.036060 0.042146 0.049139 0.057810 0.068333 0.080765 0.096674
2025-12-28 0.032940 0.039752 0.047880 0.058371 0.071665 0.088100 0.110188
2026-01-04 0.030425 0.037730 0.046732 0.058761 0.074592 0.094966 0.123577
2026-01-11 0.027989 0.035522 0.045066 0.058207 0.076080 0.099910 0.134714
2026-01-18 0.026076 0.033785 0.043799 0.057965 0.077820 0.105172 0.146607
2026-01-25 0.024173 0.031891 0.042138 0.056984 0.078359 0.108680 0.156165
2026-02-01 0.022307 0.029901 0.040179 0.055388 0.077819 0.110488 0.163220
2026-02-08 0.020744 0.028216 0.038509 0.054047 0.077481 0.112473 0.170599
2026-02-15 0.019411 0.026765 0.037065 0.052902 0.077300 0.114603 0.178296
2026-02-22 0.018584 0.025981 0.036515 0.053022 0.079010 0.119729 0.191274
2026-03-01 0.017327 0.024520 0.034918 0.051489 0.078090 0.120699 0.197541
2026-03-08 0.016012 0.022908 0.033012 0.049361 0.076075 0.119737 0.200392
2026-03-15 0.015140 0.021914 0.031981 0.048539 0.076114 0.122176 0.209518
2026-03-22 0.014698 0.021545 0.031882 0.049190 0.078627 0.129007 0.227378
2026-03-29 0.014231 0.021110 0.031647 0.049592 0.080728 0.135266 0.244805
2026-04-05 0.013616 0.020409 0.030950 0.049172 0.081354 0.138905 0.257476
2026-04-12 0.013096 0.019831 0.030417 0.048988 0.082369 0.143313 0.272131
2026-04-19 0.012487 0.019080 0.029560 0.048189 0.082205 0.145474 0.282339
2026-04-26 0.011818 0.018202 0.028450 0.046880 0.081006 0.145540 0.288075
2026-05-03 0.011232 0.017435 0.027489 0.045777 0.080113 0.146118 0.294959
2026-05-10 0.010713 0.016756 0.026645 0.044836 0.079454 0.147096 0.302809